Swansea City vs Derby County Prediction Prediction & Betting Tips

Swansea go up against Derby at Liberty Stadium this coming Saturday in the Championship. Placed 5th in the table Swansea have amassed 77 points after 44 games. On 43 points Derby are ranked in 1st place with an equal amount of matches to their name.

Four straight defeats have put a serious dampener on the mood around Derby. They could be in for another rout against Swansea.

Stats and facts for Swansea and Derby.

  • teamlogoSwansea City did not win the last 3 matches in a row;
  • teamlogoSwansea City did not win the last 4 matches in a row at home;
  • teamlogoSwansea City conceded in the last 7 of 9 matches;
  • teamlogoTotal goals was OVER 3.5 in Swansea City’s last 2 of 4 matches.
  • teamlogoDerby County has lost the last 5 matches in a row;
  • teamlogoDerby County has lost the last 4 matches in a row when playing away;
  • teamlogoDerby County did not win the last 8 matches in a row when playing away;
  • teamlogoDerby County has lost in the last 6 of 7 matches.


Selected best tips from our partner

Form Swansea vs Derby

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Trouble looms for Derby

Swansea will enter the match hoping to finally end their disappointing run of form in the league. In their last 3 matches Swansea split the points in a 2-2 draw against Wycombe, followed by a 1-0 defeat against Queens P.R.. Their most recent match brought a 2-2 draw with Reading.

Derby extend loosing run.

Things looks pretty gloomy for Derby who enter the match on the back of 2 wins and 2 defeats in the last 6 matches. In their previous 3 matches Derby were beaten 2-1 by Blackburn and went on to a 3-0 defeat against Preston. Their latest match served up a 2-1 defeat against Birmingham.

On paper the two sides seem evenly matched, however judging by recent performances Swansea look the value pick here at odds 2.75.

Swansea v Derby Fixture History

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Don’t expect goals

The last time the pair played each other Derby came away as 2-0 winners back in December 2020 in a match in the Championship.Recent meetings have had a tendency to be rather shy on goals as 6 of the previous 10 matches paid out on under 2.5 goals. Derby enjoy a 4-4-2 advantage in the Championship against Swansea.

Current standings

Swansea are placed 5th with 77 points from 44 matches. Derby occupy a position as 1st in the league on a meagre 43 points.

Full Time Betting

The bookmakers have the two sides more or less evenly matched in the betting market. Betting on Swansea will pay out at 2.75, as bookies predict Swansea are in with a 36% chance of beating Derby. If you wish to bet the draw, there are odds at 3.10 on offer, while an away win for Derby pays out at 2.70. Swansea won 4 of their last 10 home league games whereas Derby lost 8 of their last 10 away league games.


Looking at the prices on offer by the bookmakers, the chance of this match seeing both teams to score (BTTS) lies at 53%. This equals odds 1.87 if you wish to place a bet on BTTS. Speculating in the opposite outcome that at least one side keeps a clean sheet pays out at 1.90. The last 10 home league games for Swansea averaged 2 goals per game with BTTS paying out 4 of these last 10 matches.In the previous 10 away league games for Derby the average total goals were 2.5 with 4 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.

Over/Under Betting

According to the bookmakers the chance of this match having over 2.5 goals is just 44%. Should you fancy a punt, there are odds around 2.25 available if you bet OVER 2.5 goals. Going the opposite direction and betting on under 2.5 goals pays out at odds 1.67. Swansea’s last 10 home league matches saw an average of 2 goals a game. 4 of Swansea’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals.Derby’s last 10 away league games averaged 2.5 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 away matches for Derby went over 2.5 goals.

First Goal Scorer


About Joe Kizlauskas

Joe is a seasoned iGaming copywriter and speaker who has been in the business since 2015. He's written more words on all elements of iGaming than he likes to remember, and he's contributed material to a number of well-known brands. Joe may be seen playing 5 a side, at the gym or playing games on his Playstation when he is not writing.