Our football predictions
Football betting is the most popular type of betting in the world, but it’s not always as easy as it seems. Bets may be easy to make and easy to win, but to actually make money you have to have a little more knowledge and know what you are doing. Our expert football tipsters spend a lot of there time researching the games in order to provide you with the very best predictions.
The most popular type of bet by far is the 1 x 2 bet, otherwise know as win-draw-win. In this type of bet you place your money on the team you think is going to win the match or if it will result in a draw. Casual bettors hardly every place money on the draw outcome and more often that not will bet on the “best” team to win, which almost always will have odds under evens (2.0 or 1/1). This means that the average casual “safe” bettor is often putting their money on low odds and doesn’t get much back in return without huge stakes. We provide our match betting tips in every prediction we write along with the odds and a free bet.
The bigfreebet free football betting tips are designed to help you make choices about what to bet on in football matches and ultimately make more money!
What are the key things we look for when deciding on our betting predictions?
- Player form/bans/illness
- Team form
- Home/away match
- Mid-week FA Champions/Europa league commitments
- New manager
- Head 2 head form
- Injuries or team news
Our team of tipsters will assess all the above in order to pick out the very best value bets for each game we cover. When looking for our betting tips and predictions we study and take all this information in, we then provide it in a betting prediction for you to take advantage of. In our betting prediction, we will provide a match betting tip, a correct score tip and a first goal scorer prediction along with the odds.
Which is the best bookmaker to use?
- William Hill – UK betting company that knows how to value its customers.
What are the key things for our match predictions?
- There is no such thing as a safe bet. Don’t put a huge stake on low odds because you could end up disappointed.
- Make sure you look at the any factors that are going to affect the game, including weather and day of week.
- Don’t just bet on a team because you like them.
- Injury news and team form including head to head form as well as competition and league form
- Look for value bets that have a good chance of making you a profit
Which betting markets do we cover?
We always look for value in our bets but we understand each week you are looking for bets you like. We provide bets for everyone and will always tip the bet we think has the best chance of winning. We pick out a prediction each week for the match, we have a correct score prediction, goal scorer betting tip and a goals prediction.
What long term market bets are good value?
- Golden boot – but only after season has started and you can see who might do well.
- To be relegated – better than winner because three teams can be relegated whereas there is only one winner.
- Top four finish as can be quite predictable in some leagues.
What leagues do our predictions cover?
Here at Bigfreebet we try and provide you with as many predictions as possible, we have a team of tipsters with expertise in different leagues. Each week we will cover the Premier League, Bundesliga, English Championship, Scottish Premier League, Spainish La Liga, Italian Serie A and the Champions League. Some of our favourite teams to cover in this are Liverpool, Manchester United, Manchester City, Arsenal, Chelsea, Tottenham, Everton, Real Madrid, Barcalona, Juventus and Bayrn Munich.
Below are some further tips to make the most of your football bets:
Grab all the free bets you can
Our first football betting tip is to sign up for as many bookmakers as you can in order to receive the free bets they offer. The most popular free bets are £25, but they can range all the way up to £250. Most free bets are matched, which means you have to deposit and bet the amount of the free bet first and then you will be credited with an equal amount to your account.
Bookmaker risk free bets
There is currently one company – Unibet – offering a risk free bet to all its new customers.
The offer is that you can bet £30 on anything and if you lose they will refund your bet. This is a great bet tip because if you choose your bet carefully you can bet on a market with quite good odds that is normally a bit risky, but be covered if the bet loses. This is one of the best football betting tips for beginners.
Bet when teams are playing badly
Another great football betting tip that a lot of people don’t think about, is to bet on popular teams when they are doing badly.
Teams like Manchester United or Chelsea occasionally have an off-game and this makes their odds shoot up for long term betting, E.g. the Premiership title. A good example of this was when Scolari went to Chelsea in 2008. The pre-season odds predicted that Manchester United were favourites to win the title again. However, they had a poor start to the season. Chelsea, on the contrary had a roaring start and all the football pundits were tipping them to go on and win the title. Due to this, United’s odds to win the Premiership shot up and Chelsea’s went down. After the first few weeks of the season United’s form went up again and they went on to win the title, while Chelsea only managed third place. Everyone who had bet on United during the few weeks when their form dropped got great odds and won lots of money.
Another example of this is with the golden boot (top scorer market). The best players always have the lowest odds before the season starts, so it’s not really worth betting on them. However, after the first game of the season when a few players have scored, the odds all change. If big players haven’t scored, then their odds go up. If a more mediocre player has got a couple of goals in their first match, odds on him will then drop because more people are backing him to do well. The big players usually go on and score lots of goals in the subsequent matches, and the people who bet on them after one or two games rather than before the season often win more money.
After a while you will get used to noticing these football betting tips yourself. Remember, don’t let the form for one game trick you. If a team or player has a reputation of being good in the long term, use this reputation for your long term bet predictions.
These are premiership football betting tips, but can be applied to any league or competition, and even other sports.
Bet on the Over/Under goal market
This is a great football betting tip and it’s hard to see why more people don’t take advantage of it. The over/under goal market is basically saying there will be over or under a certain amount of goals a particular game. The most popular of these is the Over/Under 2.5 goal market. This is the same as saying there will be 2 goals or under, or 3 goals and over. So why is this a good bet to place?
This is a great bet to place because it gives you more chance to win and makes the odds better in big games. Using Manchester United and Chelsea again…if these two teams are playing each other, the odds are likely to be quite low for each team, with a possibility of a draw as well. This means that when you bet, you not only have to choose which of the 3 outcomes will occur, but the odds aren’t that good either.
With the over/under goal market, there are only 2 outcomes so you have more chance of winning your bet. What’s more, is that it doesn’t matter which team wins, or which team scores as long as the total goals add up to the over/under value. You won’t suddenly lose your bet if the other team starts winning, so this is great for your nerves as well.
Another reason why this betting tip works so well is that you can actually calculate and predict the outcomes by adding together the average goals scored by each team from all other games they have played in the current season. If you think a factor might affect one of the teams form, you can use this to your advantage as well and bet on more or less than the expected goals by looking at this factor.
If you are feeling confident you can also bet on the over 3.5 or 4.5 goal markets as well, but there isn’t much point betting on the “under” parts of these markets because the odds are usually low (there are often 4 goals or less in a match). This is one of our favourite football betting tips and we use it all the time when betting.
Predicting game outcomes on influencing factors
There are often factors that may affect a team that is expected to do well which reduce their performance, so you can benefit by betting on the other team. There are common factors that occur every week like home/away form and other match commitments like Champions League, Europa League etc…Both these are common reasons which reduce match performance and are often considered when the odds are worked out.
However, there are many other things that also affect the performance of a team and its players. This betting tip is important because there are so many variables.
Consider the motivation and team spirit of the team you are betting on. Motivation can be very important and can really affect team performances. The size of the match often motivates players more. Sometimes small teams beat giants just because they really want to beat them. Sometimes one team has a lot more to lose or gain. For example, if the match will decide promotion/relegation.
Another thing that affects team morale is the coach. If there is a new coach at a team, then the players often play better and improve performances for a few matches. This can be because they are trying to impress the new coach and stay in the starting IX, or just because they are happier with the new club structure.
There are a number of things such as injuries and illnesses that can occur at any point up to the start of a game. These things can have a significant impact, especially if they occur with a key player. Suspensions also have the same effect.
The number of players in a squad can have a major influence on how a team does over the whole season. A good squad depth is key if a team are to be consistent and maintain form throughout the season. This is often a problem for teams outside the big 4 in the Premiership, and a major factor why they find it difficult to break into.
Another thing with football betting which people usually fail to consider is the weather. During the winter months in the Premier League the weather is often quite harsh. Quite often you see shock wins for smaller teams, and a lot of the bigger teams lose points over the Christmas period. Something a lot of people don’t think about is that many players in the Premier League now are foreign and are used to hot climates. Their form drops considerably in the English winter, and as a result, so too does the form of the team they play for.
Go for accumulators when you are feeling lucky
When you have several bets that you want to make and you have a hunch that they are all going to come in, try an accumulator. Accumulators combine all your selections into one bet to give you better odds, so a chance of greater winnings. Let’s say that you have 3 bets with odds of 2.0 that you place £10 on. Match 1 – 2.0 x 10 = £20, Match 2 – 2.0 x 10 = £20, Match 3 – 2.0 x 10 = £20. = Total £60 potential winnings. Now if we combine these together, Match 1, 2 & 3 accumulator – 2.0 x 2.0 x 2.0 x 10 = £80 potential winnings.
So you see, the act of multiplying the bets together gives you a chance of greater winnings from the same stake. The downside is that all your bets have to come in to win the accumulator, while in normal “singles” betting, you win or lose each bet separately. Give it a try though – even if it’s only just a “play” bet – and see how you come out. If you need some help, our football accumulator tips should give you lots of advice on what and what not to do when betting this way.
Shop around for the best odds
A good football betting tip is for you to check the odds at several different bookmakers before you make your bet. Every bookmaker has different odds on offer for the same event, so you could be losing out if you bet at a bookmaker offering lower odds. We have plenty on our site available to compare.
You might also want to try betting at a betting exchange like Betfair. Betting exchanges almost always have better odds than the normal bookmakers because they make their money from commission rather than customer losses.
Look for some Picks
So these are a few football betting tips that will hopefully help you. If you want some expert predictions for games, then check out our football betting predictions at the top of this page. We’ve analysed each game and come up with some ideas and tips for you to bet on.