Liverpool vs Real Madrid Betting Tips & Prediction

Liverpool take on Real Madrid at Anfield on Wednesday for a 2nd leg in the Quarter Finals of the Champions League. The first match ended with a 3-1 scoreline after a tense encounter.

With 3 wins and 2 defeats from the past 6 matches in the Champions League, anything is to be expected from Liverpool. Having ploughed through 5 wins to only one defeat in their last 6 matches, Liverpool know only too well they have a tough game on hand here.

While a 2 goal lead is a nice cushion for Real Madrid, question is whether conceding in the 1st leg will prove costly.

Stats and facts for Liverpool and Real Madrid.

  • teamlogoLiverpool scored in the last 14 of 16 matches;
  • teamlogoTotal goals was UNDER 3.5 in Liverpool’s last 7 of 9 matches;
  • teamlogoTotal goals was UNDER 3.5 in Liverpool’s last 4 at home matches in the row.
  • teamlogoReal Madrid has won the last 4 matches in a row;
  • teamlogoReal Madrid has won in the last 6 of 7 matches;
  • teamlogoReal Madrid scored in the last 17 of 19 matches;
  • teamlogoTotal goals was UNDER 3.5 in Real Madrid’s last 4 of 6 matches.


Selected best tips from our partner

Form Liverpool vs Real Madrid

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Liverpool continue to collect points.

Liverpool look to extend their current momentum with another positive result. In their 3 latest outings The Reds demolished Arsenal in a 3-0 win and went on to a 3-1 defeat against Real Madrid in the Champions League. Their latest game produced a 2-1 win against Aston Villa.

Liverpool sailed through the Round of 1/8 with 2 wins beating RB Leipzig with a 4-0 aggregate score.

Real Madrid looking formidable.

Real Madrid enter this match on a really fine note as past weeks have brought a very acceptable 18 points out of a possible 18. In their last 3 matches Real Madrid claimed a 2-0 win against Eibar, followed by a 3-1 win against Liverpool in the Champions League. Their most recent match brought a 2-1 win against Barcelona.

Real Madrid managed 2 wins and an aggregate score of 4-1 against Atalanta in the Round of 1/8.

In a match between two sides performing almost identical in recent weeks, we still favor Liverpool to first make a breakthrough.

Liverpool v Real Madrid Fixture History

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Real Madrid usually come out on the top

The last time the pair played each other Real Madrid came away as 3-1 winners back in April 2021 in a match in the Champions League. Over 2.5 goals was a winning bet 4 times in the last 6 matches between Liverpool and Real Madrid. Both teams to score paid out 2 times in those 6 matches meetings. Real Madrid seem to have a bit of a love affair with Liverpool, as they have beaten them 4 times in 6 previous meetings in the Champions League.

Full Time Betting

The bookmakers have the two sides more or less evenly matched in the betting market. Betting on Liverpool will pay out at 2.40, as bookies predict Liverpool are in with a 42% chance of beating Real Madrid. If you wish to bet the draw, there are odds at 2.38 on offer, while an away win for Real Madrid pays out at 4.33. Liverpool won 7 of their last 10 home league games whereas Real Madrid lost 3 of their last 10 away league games.


The prices available with the bookmakers indicate the chance of both teams to score (BTTS) is as low as 22% in this match. This equals odds around 4.50, while going the other way and betting on both teams NOT to score pays out odds 1.20. The bookies estimate the chance of this outcome paying out lies at 83%. The last 10 home league games for Liverpool averaged 3 goals per game with BTTS paying out 4 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 10 away league games for Real Madrid the average total goals were 2.5 with 4 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.

Over/Under Betting

According to the bookmakers the chance of this match having over 2.5 goals is just 15%. Should you fancy a punt, there are odds around 6.50 available if you bet OVER 2.5 goals. Going the opposite direction and betting on under 2.5 goals pays out at odds 1.10. Liverpool’s last 10 home league matches saw an average of 3 goals a game. 2 of Liverpool’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid’s last 10 away league games averaged 2.5 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 away matches for Real Madrid went over 2.5 goals.

First Goal Scorer


About Joe Kizlauskas

Joe is a seasoned iGaming copywriter and speaker who has been in the business since 2015. He's written more words on all elements of iGaming than he likes to remember, and he's contributed material to a number of well-known brands. Joe may be seen playing 5 a side, at the gym or playing games on his Playstation when he is not writing.