Italy vs England – Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Published: September 21, 2022
Author: Josh Stewart
Last Updated: September 21, 2022

Italy take on England for a match in the UEFA Nations League on Friday at San Siro. Neither Italy nor England managed a breakthrough, when they last faced each other. They ended up settling for a point in a 0-0 draw, and the best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 3.20. Whereas hosts Italy sit as number 7 in the FIFA world ranking, visitors England arrive as number 5. It certainly has the look of a close encounter this coming Friday.

Italy vs England Stats

  • Italy have scored in 26 of the last 28 home matches
  • Italy have conceded in 11 of the last 12 home matches
  • In 5 of the last 7 home matches Italy played, both teams scored
  • Italy have conceded in 9 of the last 11 matches
  • Italy have not won 7 of the last 9 matches
  • England have not lost 11 of the last 13 matches
  • England have scored in 9 of the last 10 away matches
  • England have not lost 8 of the last 10 away matches
  • England have not won the last 4 matches in a row

Italy vs England Lineups

Italy vs England Preview

Judging by their last three matches, we can expect a bit of everything from Italy at the moment. Against Hungary, they came out on top in a 2-1 win, before drawing 0-0 against England. Most recently, they were left reeling in a 5-2 defeat against Germany. Italy won twice in their last six matches on home soil, as they also drew two and suffered two defeats. They hit the target six times while letting eight goals in.

England are winless in their last three matches, but managed a 1-1 draw with Germany and a 0-0 draw with Italy. In their most recent match, they were defeated 0-4 at the hands of Hungary. England won three of a possible six away matches, as well as playing two draws and suffering one defeat. They scored 21 while also conceding three times.

Italy vs England H2H

The most recent outing between Italy and England failed to produce a winner, with the score reading 0-0 after the final whistle. The best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 3.20. Italy tend to have the upper hand against England, having won four times in their last nine matches against each other. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 2.80.

Current table in the UEFA Nations League

Italy go into their fifth UEFA Nations League group match on five points. To see the next round, they need to go all-in chasing a win. A draw is probably not enough to stay in the race for advancement, unless Lady Luck is on their side. A third place finish is still a possibility, but the hosts want to stay in this tournament. England are still looking to claim their first win in the UEFA Nations League, and time is running out. A meagre two points so far is a disappointing outcome, and they’ll be motivated to get on the board on Friday.

Full Time Betting

Italy claimed four wins, drew three and lost three of their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. England won six, drew two and lost two of their last 10 games away. Italy conceded at least one goal in nine of their last 10 matches on home soil, whereas England kept six clean sheets in their previous 10 away games.

Both Teams to Score

Neither Italy nor England managed a breakthrough, when they last faced each other. They ended up settling for a point in a 0-0 draw, and the best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 3.20. Both teams to score came out seven times in the past nine matches between Italy and England. Odds on both teams finding the back of the net are best priced at 1.90 with the bookies.

Over/Under Tips

In the past nine encounters between Italy and England over 2.5 goals came out four times, with Italy scoring an average of 1.43 goals per game. England averaged 0.99 goals, while both teams scored seven times. Over 2.5 goals was a winning bet in five of Italy’s past ten matches across all tournaments. They scored 1.1 goals on average along the way. Over 2.5 goals happened in six of the visitor’s last ten games this season. On average, they scored 2.7 times in those matches.

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About Josh Stewart

Josh lives in Edinburgh, Scotland, and works as a website editor. He has previously worked for several prominent online sites and, as a former professional golfer, specialises in sports and iGaming. Josh has almost a decade of experience as a freelancer and has received excellent reviews from current and previous clients.