Derby County vs Birmingham City Prediction

Derby goes up against Birmingham at Pride Park this coming Saturday in the Championship. Derby lies 1st in the table on 43 points after 43 games. 6 points ahead after 43 games, Birmingham find itself in 19th place.

Derby has been left reeling after 4 straight defeats in the Championship. Their upcoming clash with Birmingham presents them with an opportunity to get back to winning ways, though.

Stats and facts for Derby and Birmingham.

  • teamlogoDerby County has lost the last 4 matches in a row;
  • teamlogoDerby County has lost in the last 5 of 6 matches;
  • teamlogoDerby County conceded in the last 10 of 12 matches.
  • teamlogoBirmingham unbeaten the last 5 matches in a row;
  • teamlogoTotal goals was UNDER 3.5 in Birmingham’s last 5 of 7 matches;
  • teamlogoTotal goals was UNDER 3.5 in Birmingham’s last 5 matches in the row;
  • teamlogoBirmingham scored in the last 5 of 7 matches.


Selected best tips from our partner

Form Derby vs Birmingham

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Derby hit troubled waters once again.

Freiburg’s miserable time now with 1 win and 5 defeats from their last 6 games to show for their, admittedly, measly efforts. In their 3 latest outings, Derby suffered a 1-0 home defeat against Norwich and went on to a 2-1 defeat against Blackburn. Their latest game produced a 3-0 defeat against Preston.

Derby in serious trouble

Birmingham looks to extend their current momentum with another positive result. In their last 3 matches, Birmingham finished off Stoke in a 2-0 win, followed by a 1-0 win against Rotherham. Their most recent match brought a 1-1 draw with Nottingham F.

Derby is the bookies favourite, but in current form siding with outsiders, Birmingham, at odds 3.30, look a decent value pick.

Derby v Birmingham Fixture History

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Goals guaranteed:

Derby left Birmingham begging for mercy when they clattered them 4-0 and 3-1 in their previous meetings in the Championship. Entertainment seems close to guaranteed with over 2.5 goals paying out as a winning bet 8 of the previous 10 times Derby faced Birmingham. All in all, Derby have had a fine reading on Birmingham in previous seasons in the Championship with a 7-2-1 advantage going into this match.

Current standings

Derby lies 1st in the table on 43 points after 43 matches. 6 points ahead after 43 games, Birmingham find itself in 19th place.

Full Time Betting

Following odds are available for this match with the bookmakers: Derby to win pays out at 2.30, the best price for a draw is 3.00, while an away win for Birmingham returns you odds 3.30. Derby won 5 of their last 10 home league games, whereas Birmingham lost 4 of their last 10 away league games.


The prices available with the bookmakers indicate the chance of both teams to score (BTTS) is as low as 48% in this match. This equals odds around 2.10 while going the other way, and betting on both teams NOT to score pays out odds 1.73. The bookies estimate the chance of this outcome paying out lies at 58%. The last 10 home league games for Derby averaged 1.8 goals per game, with BTTS paying out 3 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 10 away league games for Birmingham, the average total goals were 1.6, with 2 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.

Over/Under Betting

According to the bookmakers, the chance of this match having over 2.5 goals is just 38%. Should you fancy a punt, there are odds around 2.63 available if you bet OVER 2.5 goals. Going the opposite direction and betting on under 2.5 goals pays out at odds 1.47. Derby’s last 10 home league matches saw an average of 1.8 goals a game. 2 of Derby’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals. Birmingham’s last 10 away league games averaged 1.6 goals per game. 2 of the last 10 away matches for Birmingham went over 2.5 goals.

First Goal Scorer


About Joe Kizlauskas

Joe is a seasoned iGaming copywriter and speaker who has been in the business since 2015. He's written more words on all elements of iGaming than he likes to remember, and he's contributed material to a number of well-known brands. Joe may be seen playing 5 a side, at the gym or playing games on his Playstation when he is not writing.