Defending champions Chelsea are highly favoured to take 3 points on Tuesday at Stamford Bridge against Brighton. Placed 5th in the table, The Blues have amassed 54 points after 31 games. On 33 points, Brighton is ranked in 16th place with as many matches as the home side.
Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in Chelsea’s last 6 of 8 matches;Chelsea scored in the last 9 of 11 matches;Total goals was OVER 3.5 in Chelsea’s last 2 of 4 matches;Chelsea have not conceded in the last 4 of 6 matches.
Total goals was OVER 2.5 in Brighton’s last 5 of 7 matches;Brighton scored in the last 5 of 7 matches;Brighton conceded in the last 5 of 7 matches.The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.
Results have been on par, so to speak, for Chelsea in recent weeks as results have performed as expected. In their last 3 matches, The Blues claimed a 4-1 win against Crystal Palace, followed by a 1-0 defeat against FC Porto in the Champions League. Their most recent match brought a 1-0 win against Manchester City.
Results have been on par, so to speak, for Brighton in recent weeks as results have performed as expected. In their 3 latest outings, Brighton annihilated Newcastle in a 3-0 win and won a 2-1 defeat against Manchester United. Their latest game produced a 0-0 draw with Everton.
In a match between these two seemingly equal sides, home advantage could prove the deciding factor with both in the same shape. A win for The Blues at odds 1.55 looks the best call this coming Tuesday.
The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.
The last time the pair played each other, Chelsea came away as 3-1 winners back in September 2020 in a match in the Premier League. The last 7 matches between Chelsea and Brighton over 2.5 goals was a winning bet 4 times. Both teams to score paid out with the bookies 3 times in those 7 matches meetings. All in all, Chelsea have had a fine reading on Brighton lately with a 6-1-0 advantage in the Premier League going into this match.
Chelsea finds themselves placed 5th in the table on 54 points from 31 games. In 16th place, The Seagulls are 21 points behind in the standings.
According to bookmakers, Chelsea has a 65% chance of beating Brighton. That equals odds of 1.55 on Chelsea to win, while the draw sits at 4.10. Placing a bet on the away win for The Seagulls returns you odds 6.00. Chelsea won 5 of their previous 10 home league games. In contrast, Brighton lost 4 of their last 10 away league games.
The prices available with the bookmakers indicate the chance of both teams to score (BTTS) is as low as 50% in this match. This equals odds around 2.00 while going the other way, and betting on both teams NOT to score pays out odds 1.80. The bookies estimate the chance of this outcome paying out lies at 56%. Chelsea’s last 10 home league games averaged 2.6 goals per game, with BTTS paying out 4 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 10 away league games for Brighton, the average total goals were 1.9, with 4 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.
According to the bookmakers, the chance of this match having over 2.5 goals is just 48%. Should you fancy a punt, there are odds around 2.10 available if you bet OVER 2.5 goals. Going the opposite direction and betting on under 2.5 goals pays out at odds 1.80. Chelsea’s last 10 home league matches saw an average of 2.6 goals a game. 1 of Chelsea’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals. Brighton’s last 10 away league games averaged 1.9 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 away matches for Brighton exceeded 2.5 goals.