Burnley vs Newcastle United Betting Tips & Prediction

Burnley enjoys home advantage when visitors Newcastle swing by for a clash in the Premier League on Sunday. Burnley finds themselves placed 15th in the table on 33 points from 30 matches. In 17th place, Newcastle is 4 points behind in the standings.

It has been a few rounds since The Magpies last taste of success in the Premier League and they should expect no presents from upcoming opponents Burnley.

Stats and facts for Burnley and Newcastle.

  • teamlogoBurnley did not win the last 6 matches in a row at home;
  • teamlogoBurnley unbeaten the last 5 matches in a row at home;
  • teamlogoBurnley conceded in the last 10 of 12 matches;
  • teamlogoBurnley scored in the last 7 of 9 matches.
  • teamlogoNewcastle did not win the last 7 matches in a row;
  • teamlogoNewcastle did not win the last 4 matches in a row when playing away;
  • teamlogoNewcastle conceded in the last 13 of 15 matches;
  • teamlogoTotal goals was UNDER 3.5 in Newcastle’s last 3 of 5 matches.


Selected best tips from our partner

Form Burnley vs Newcastle

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Trouble looms for Newcastle

Results have pretty much up to scratch in recent matches for The Clarets who have been neither awesome nor poor. In their previous 3 matches Burnley split the points in a 1-1 draw against Arsenal and went on to a 2-1 win against Everton. Their latest match served up a 3-2 defeat against Southampton.

Trouble looms for Newcastle

The Magpies will enter the match hoping to finally end their disappointing run of form in the league. In their previous 3 matches The Magpies split the points in a 1-1 draw against Aston Villa and went on to a 3-0 defeat against Brighton. Their latest match served up a 2-2 draw against Tottenham.

On paper the two sides seem evenly matched, however judging by recent performances Burnley look the value pick here at odds 2.38.

Burnley v Newcastle Fixture History

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Don’t expect goals

The last time the pair played each other Newcastle came away as 3-1 winners back in October 2020 in a match in the Premier League. In the previous 9 matches between Burnley and Newcastle over 2.5 goals came up 3 times. Both teams to score paid out 5 times in these 9 matches meetings. Burnley have won 22.22222222222222%, while Newcastle have won 33.33333333333333% of their last 9 encounters in the Premier League resulting in a total of 2-4-3.

Current standings

Burnley lie 15th in the table on 33 points after 30 matches. 4 points behind after 30 matches, The Magpies find themselves in 17th place.

Full Time Betting

The bookmakers have the two sides more or less evenly matched in the betting market. Betting on Burnley will pay out at 2.38, as bookies predict The Clarets are in with a 42% chance of beating Newcastle. If you wish to bet the draw, there are odds at 3.10 on offer, while an away win for The Magpies pays out at 3.30. Burnley won 3 of their last 10 home league games whereas Newcastle lost 8 of their last 10 away league games.


The prices available with the bookmakers indicate the chance of both teams to score (BTTS) is as low as 50% in this match. This equals odds around 2.00, while going the other way and betting on both teams NOT to score pays out odds 1.80. The bookies estimate the chance of this outcome paying out lies at 56%. The last 10 home league games for Burnley averaged 2 goals per game with BTTS paying out 6 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 10 away league games for Newcastle the average total goals were 2.6 with 2 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.

Over/Under Betting

According to the bookmakers the chance of this match having over 2.5 goals is just 42%. Should you fancy a punt, there are odds around 2.40 available if you bet OVER 2.5 goals. Going the opposite direction and betting on under 2.5 goals pays out at odds 1.57. Burnley’s last 10 home league matches saw an average of 2 goals a game. 2 of Burnley’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals. Newcastle’s last 10 away league games averaged 2.6 goals per game. 3 of the last 10 away matches for Newcastle went over 2.5 goals.

First Goal Scorer


About Joe Kizlauskas

Joe is a seasoned iGaming copywriter and speaker who has been in the business since 2015. He's written more words on all elements of iGaming than he likes to remember, and he's contributed material to a number of well-known brands. Joe may be seen playing 5 a side, at the gym or playing games on his Playstation when he is not writing.